New paper in Nature Geoscience examines inertia of carbon dioxide emissions

New research indicates the impact of rising CO2 levels in the Earth’s atmosphere will cause unstoppable effects to the climate for at least the next 1000 years, causing researchers to estimate a collapse of the West Antarctic ice sheet by the year 3000, and an eventual rise in the global sea level of at least four metres.
The study, to be published in the Jan. 9 Advanced Online Publication of the journal Nature Geoscience, is the first full climate model simulation to make predictions out to 1000 years from now. It is based on best-case, ‘zero-emissions’ scenarios constructed by a team of researchers from the Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis (an Environment Canada research lab at the University of Victoria) and the University of Calgary.
The Daily Mail headline proclaims
(and perhaps – following Nostradamus – we should only use quatrains !)
Sea levels will rise by at least 13ft in next 1,000 years, claim scientists
Global sea levels will rise
By at least 13ft in the next 1,000 years
As a result of carbon dioxide emissions,
Scientists have warned.
The ‘unstoppable’ impact of global warming
Will cause a catastrophic collapse
Of the West Antarctic ice sheet
By the year 3000.
“Ongoing climate change following a complete cessation of carbon dioxide emissions” by Nathan P. Gillett, Vivek K. Arora, Kirsten Zickfeld, Shawn J. Marshall and William J. Merryfield will be available online at http://www.nature.com/ngeo/index.html
Or perhaps it should have been published here:
The Journal of Irreproducible Results
Tags: 1000 year prediction, carbon dioxide inertia, climate change, global warming, Journal of Irreproducible Results
January 11, 2011 at 3:06 am
I think anytime scientist base something on 1000 years, people don’t care. Tell them it’s gonna happen tomorrow, and they will crap there pants!