International myth

March 3, 2026

From X

Eoin O’Malley 
@AnMailleach

Excellent image.

Captures what I think about the sanctimony and lies around the false concept of international law.

Both transcendental and metaphysical nonsense.


 

Justified Coercion: The Purpose of Law and Legal Systems / 4

February 28, 2026

This essay is the fourth in a series and follows on from the essay on Natural Law:

The Skeptical Case Against Natural Law / 1

The Fallacy of Universalism / 2

The Skeptical Case against the UN Declaration of Human Rights / 3

Justified Coercion: The Purpose of Law and Legal Systems / 4


Introduction

A human legal system, in a strict, historical and anthropological sense, is a structured set of rules (laws) backed by some recognized authority and enforcement mechanism for a society to manage and regulate behaviour among its members. Law emerges wherever human societies have needed (and need) predictable patterns of conduct, conflict resolution, resource allocation, and exercise of power. (The exercise of power is when one person orders and effects the behaviour of others in accordance with instructions.) Law is a tool for social control and and effects this by social behaviour management even if some may flinch at the word control. Even the interactions in small gatherings of people (say 3 or 4 in a family group) are sufficient to give rise to laws. A semblance of laws is discernible even among animals which live in groups and where the complexity of interactions leads to rules (lion prides, baboon troops or even hunting gangs of orcas). Neither laws nor legal systems have anything absolute or universal or even objective about them. If all societies had behaviourally identical members there would be no need for any social management or any laws. It is the inherent diversity of human behaviour which means that in every society the behaviour of some will not be desirable as viewed by others. Those who have assumed the task of managing societies (by whatever means) need – in performance of their task – to limit behavioural friction among members to a level which is compatible with the satisfactory functioning of that society.

In his classic 1935 paper Cohen introduced his critique of “transcendental nonsense” which necessarily appears in the philosophy of all legal systems. Transcendental nonsense and the functional approach, Felix S. Cohen, Columbia Law Review, Vol. 35, No. 6 (Jun., 1935), pp. 809-849 (41 pages)

Cohen used the term to mock a style of traditional legal reasoning that treats abstract legal concepts (e.g. “property rights”, “corporate personality”, “contract”, “title”, “fairness”, or “due process”) as if they are real, independent, almost supernatural entities with their own inherent logical properties and existence separate from human behavior, social facts, or observable consequences. He saw that transcendental nonsense decided cases by manipulating these disembodied concepts and deducing results from their supposed “internal” logical relationships, rather than by openly examining the actual social effects, policy consequences, human behaviors, or empirical realities the decision would produce. These are concepts which cannot be assessed against any verifiable reality.  By using transcendental, Cohen was referencing philosophical transcendentalism where reasoning tries to deduce truths from abstract, a priori categories rather than from empirical consequences. By using the word nonsense, he meant that such reasoning produces arguments that sound logical but do not actually resolve real social problems or explain what courts are doing in practice. In addition to his specific example of a corporation, other examples of transcendental nonsense include legal personalities, property as an absolute natural thing, sovereignty, doctrines of jurisdiction, formal contract freedom and many other legal fictions.

The purpose and practice of human laws and legal systems is shrouded in a thick fog of various kinds of nonsense. But what Cohen described as transcendental nonsense, is just a part of what I would call metaphysical nonsense.  Here we find all the sanctimonious trappings which always appear as justifications of laws and legal systems (which are not verifiable against reality but may have other collateral benefits). These include viewing legal systems as a grand pursuit of Justice, or a reflection of Natural Law, or for the upholding of righteousness or as the sacrament of a sacred contract between the governor and the governed. These descriptions are intellectually comfortable and purport to be of high moral standing but they are functionally fraudulent and intentionally self-serving. If we strip away the pomp of high-ceilinged paneled courtrooms, the archaic robes, and the sanctimonious rhetoric of “fairness,” we find a far more visceral reality. At its core, a legal system is a tool for behavioural management and is designed to contain social disorder (a social entropy) through the threat or actual application of force. Its fundamental purpose is not the attainment of a moral ideal, but the maintenance of social stability through coercion, or the threat of coercion, as deemed to be necessary.

The functional purpose of law

To try and understand the purpose of any legal system, we must first define what a law is at its most basic, operational level. A man-made law is a tool to elicit desired behaviour. It is a formulation of prohibited (or occasionally compulsory) behavior, coupled with a specific enumeration of penalties for those found in breach. Any higher-level description that omits the threat of force is not a definition of law, but a definition of advice. For a law to be “useful” in a functionalist sense, it must exist in a state of tension. Behavior that humans are physiologically incapable of performing, such as flying, requires no legal prohibition. Conversely, behavior that all humans invariably comply with, such as breathing, requires no legal mandate. Therefore, the only “useful” laws are those that address behaviour that people are both capable of doing and inclined to do, yet which the societal power wishes to suppress for the sake of order. It is in the nature of human association that minority behaviour that gives offense to a majority is discouraged and even suppressed. It is very rare (and impractical) for majority behaviour to be suppressed by a minority.

This leads to a central paradox. A law that is never broken is redundant, as it reflects a pre-existing social or biological certainty, but a law that is never complied with is futile, as it represents a failure of societal power. The “success” of a law is found in the middle ground as that which permits a “judicious” amount of unwanted behaviour (crime or civil disruption or civil conflict for example). The societal power acknowledges that a certain section of society will always oppose its dictates.  The purpose of their law is to coerce a sufficient number of these dissenters so that the disruption they cause remains within manageable bounds. No legal system ever has the objective of achieving complete compliance with the law. “Just enough” compliance is the name of the game. As long as enough criminals are held accountable others may go unchecked. As long as the limited number of cases that the legal system system deals with is seen to be “fair and just” then the quest for “fair and just” for all cases can quietly be ignored.

If the purpose of law is primarily management of social behaviour (via coercion), why do we then invest so much energy in the “camouflage” of purpose by invoking majesty, sanctity, divinity, royalty, and honour? They are all, of course, metaphysical nonsense and invented, artificial, empirically unverifiable concepts. But in their sanctimony and appeal to metaphysics they do provide crucial psychological sustenance for human legal systems. They are principally cosmetic in nature though many people invest form with imaginary substance. The reality of societies is that raw force is expensive. A societal power that must place many policemen on every street corner to ensure compliance will eventually go bankrupt or collapse under the weight of its own friction. The “sanctity” of the legal system serves as a social lubricant. By imbuing the law with a sense of metaphysical justice or fairness, the societal power achieves a psychological victory that force alone cannot buy. When a citizen obeys a law because they believe it is right, or because they respect and accept the authority of the court or the majesty of the law, the cost of enforcement drops to zero. The robes and the wigs and the collars and the gavels may be steeped in tradition but their main function is to imply that law and the legal system is supra-human. Metaphysical. Majestic. Even Divine. This theatre in a circus serves to camouflage the messy, coercive, necessary code running silently in the background. Legal systems and law are tools for threatening, and doing, harm to some as deemed necessary for the greater good.

The transcendental illusions

Much of the metaphysical nonsense is sanctimonious packaging. It exists to create justifications in the form of moral illusions for imbuing a false notion of high purpose and of easing the conscience of individual practitioners in being party to doing harm. It is difficult for a person to spend their life suppressing the impulses of their fellow humans if they see themselves as a mere bully. By framing their work as serving justice, they are granted a moral alibi and a place in heaven. They are no longer crass individuals exercising or threatening harm. Instead they are elevated to be instruments of an abstract, higher Good. This depersonalization is essential for the sustenance of the system. In a legal system cloaked in theism and honor, the enforcers use sanctimony to create a moral subsidy. Practitioners adopt the illusion of great moral significance into their own actions as a way of increasing worth and job satisfaction. Young lawyers and police are often recruited on the premise that they are protecting the innocent or upholding the Right. This belief allows them to perform tasks that would otherwise be psychologically damaging (levying penalties, seizing property, depriving people of liberty, enforcing evictions and even inflicting pain). If the system were stripped of its false camouflage, the cost would also include a psychological tax. To recruit a person to be an admitted instrument of raw coercion, would need to compensate for the perceived social stigma and the internal mental stress. Public servants would seem more like mercenaries. When the system is wrapped in apparent sanctimony, it attracts, and above all retains, people who value stability and order. These individuals are often more reliable and less prone to individual corruption because they believe they serve a Higher Power (be it God, The Law, or The Constitution). The trappings (the robes, the ritual, the language, the architecture, the pondus) also serve to clothe the practitioners with the paraphernalia. the trappings of a high calling with metaphysical goals. Not unlike the priests of suspect religions. When a judge says, “It is the law that sentences you,” they are distancing their own humanity from the act of coercion. This depersonalization is a vital retention strategy. The “sanctimony” allows the practitioner to remain “cold” and functional over a forty-year career.

The “divinity” and “pomp” of the law is a cost-saving measure in the labor market. It allows the state to recruit high-quality, stable, and disciplined “mechanics” at a fraction of the price of mercenaries, while shielding them from the psychological consequences of their own coercive actions.

The primary purpose is social stability

In this functionalist framework, the “goodness” of a legal system is decoupled from morality. A “good” system is not one that eliminates crime. To do that would require a level of surveillance so total and a cost so high that the society would cease to function. Rather, a “good” system is one that allows some necessary social friction and yet maintains a level of equilibrium judged necessary by the societal powers. The system monitors social friction and adjusts its coercive output accordingly. It allows for a certain amount of undetected crime and a certain number of unjust decisions, provided these outliers do not threaten the overall perception of order. If a law becomes too difficult to enforce (such as by the prohibition of a widely practised behaviour), a “good” (rational) system will eventually abandon it, not because the behavior has become “moral,” but because the cost of coercion exceeds the benefit of stability. In a system or thermodynamic sense social entropy is a measure of disorder in the system. In this perspective the legal system is essentially a tool for managing social entropy. In any collection of eight billion unique individuals, the natural state is chaos. The legal system is the energy expended to keep that chaos at bay. It is in the nature of every adversarial court judgement that one party is favoured and the other penalized. The penalty always involves the doing of some form of explicit harm to the disfavoured party and may, in civil cases, involve some real benefit to the other party. Some of the transcendental and metaphysical nonsense helps the losing party to accept, even if reluctantly, the institutional harm imposed upon him. The law threatens the doing of harm (and thus coerces) and every application of a legal judgement does always involve the doing of harm to the losing party. A modern state is characterized by its effective monopoly on the legitimate use of physical force within a territory. The access to superior force is the necessary, but not sufficient, requirement for any legal system to function. Without this the system is advisory rather than legal. Advisory or normative systems rely on persuasion, reputation, or voluntary adherence. Legal systems rely on the availability of institutional enforcement backed, at the final resort, by coercive power. But force alone does not generate a legal system. That requires an institutionalized, routine, rule-bound deployment of structured coercive capacity rather than the discretionary use of raw force.

The “rights” we cherish are not inalienable truths. There is a pretense, but no real attempt, of legal systems pursuing absolute justice or absolute fairness (even if they could exist which they don’t).  Over 60% of a thousand murderers every day go free. The global society finds that not unacceptable. Over 85% of car theft does not lead to any prosecution. Society (with its insurance industry and the high cost of apprehending petty criminals) finds this not unacceptable. Most car thieves get away with it. A quest for absolute fairness never comes into play. The 40% of murderers who get caught and are held accountable might even think it unfair that 60% go free. The law and the legal system need not do more than enough (and only just enough), to convince the general citizenry to remain productive, cooperative, and, most importantly, compliant. It does not need to do any more for societal needs. More is often pretended to as part of the metaphysical camouflage.

Conclusion

I am left with a somewhat cynical but logical conclusion that for a legal system to be truly “good” (meaning effective and sustainable), it must camouflage its own nature to protect its own functionality. If a system were to be perfectly transparent, if the judge were to say, “I am taking your property because it serves the current stability of the state to do so”, the illusion of legitimacy would shatter. The coerced minority would no longer feel they had “lost a fair trial”; they would feel they were victims of a hostile power, and they would act accordingly. The “Justified Coercion” of the title is therefore not a moral justification, but a functional one. The coercion is “justified” only in the sense that it is required for the machine of society to continue turning. The purpose of the legal system is to manage the inevitable conflict between individual desire and social necessity, using just enough force to keep the peace and just enough “sanctimony” to make that force palatable.

To view the law through this functional lens is to see it as a tool. It is an artefact, a social construct rather than a sacred text. In many ways it is not dissimilar to a religion. But that is because every religion, is about controlling the social behaviour of its members. We must judge law not by how “just” it is in some abstract, transcendental sense, but by how well it performs its cold, rational task of behaviour coordination and suppression. The legal system is a necessary evil of the human condition; a complex, expensive, and often deceptive engine built to ensure that our collective life remains “manageable.” By stripping away the false camouflage of Natural Law and universal morality, we gain the clarity to evaluate our laws for what they truly are; the tools of a species that has learned that it is better for their societies to be managed than to be “free” in a state of anarchy and chaos.

There is no righteousness or divinity or sanctity in laws and there are no such things as Natural Law or Divine Law.


The New York Times is a terrible rag but worth 2€/month

February 25, 2026

There is no crisis.

Climate – as always – is to adapt to. Humans have been doing it very successfully for a very long time and even before we had fire (let alone energy sources). We have been through many glaciations, desertifications, floods and storms. We were coping with change 300,000 years ago and we are doing it now. But there is no crisis in sight. And alarmism does not actually contribute anything useful.

Not one single “climate action” taken by anybody in the last 60 years has actually led to any measurable change either to weather or to climate. The only thing measurable is how much money has been wasted in achieving nothing.

The New York Times is an unashamed, leftist alarm-monger and only The Guardian is more blatantly rubbishy.

7th February 2014 >>>> 24th February 2026

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I still have my 2€/month subscription for the NYT and if they try to increase it I will end the subscription. (They have tried many times but so far have always reverted to offering me the 2€/month when I have cancelled in response).

It is worth about 2€/month.

But no more.


 

Rubio speech at Munich Security Conference Feb 2026

February 15, 2026

The now withdrawn EPA endangerment finding was politics not science

February 13, 2026

The 2009 Endangerment Finding by the EPA Administrator on December 7, 2009, included two main determinations. The first found that the current and projected concentrations of six key greenhouse gases, including carbon dioxide (CO2), in the atmosphere threaten the public health and welfare of current and future generations. The second, the “Cause or Contribute Finding,” determined that combined emissions of these gases from new motor vehicles and engines contribute to this threat EPA. “Air pollution” was defined as the collective mix of these six greenhouse gases. The term “public welfare” under the Clean Air Act was interpreted to include effects on various environmental factors. The finding was published in the Federal Register on December 15, 2009.

The finding was utterly dependent upon a political definition of welfare. It was unsound  and was essentially junk science for a political cause. For human health directly the effects were plain wrong or grossly exaggerated.

A doubling of atmospheric CO2 levels from around 400 ppm to 1000 ppm, with oxygen content remaining unchanged, would likely have minimal direct acute health impacts on most healthy adults, as this concentration is commonly encountered in indoor environments without widespread reports of severe symptoms. Traditional occupational safety guidelines, such as those from OSHA, set permissible exposure limits at 5000 ppm for an 8-hour workday, indicating that 1000 ppm is well below thresholds for immediate toxicity or asphyxiation. At this level, some individuals might experience subtle effects like mild drowsiness or slight increases in heart rate and blood pressure, but these are not universal and often depend on factors such as duration of exposure, ventilation, and individual sensitivity.


On February 12, 2026, the EPA under the Trump administration finalized a rule to withdraw the 2009 Greenhouse Gas Endangerment Finding.

What was withdrawn: The 2009 “Endangerment Finding” (and related Cause or Contribute Finding), which concluded that the current and projected concentrations of six key greenhouse gases in the atmosphere threaten the public health and welfare of current and future generations.
Significance: This finding was the legal bedrock that allowed the EPA to regulate emissions from motor vehicles, power plants, and other industrial sources.
Reason for Withdrawal: The EPA stated that the 2009 analysis was “flawed,” “too pessimistic,” and did not properly analyze the scientific record. The administration argued that greenhouse gases do not pose a direct threat to public health in the way conventional air pollutants (like smog) do.

Good riddance.


Update: Epstein files and Scandinavia

February 13, 2026

@grok Summarise further developments regarding the Epstein files and the Scandinavian fallout.


There have been significant further developments in the Scandinavian fallout from the Epstein files since early February 2026, particularly in Norway, where the scandal has intensified with resignations, ongoing police investigations, parliamentary inquiries, and mounting pressure on the royal family. Sweden and Denmark have seen more limited additional fallout, with no major new resignations or probes reported beyond earlier ones.

The U.S. Department of Justice’s release of over 3 million pages of documents (starting late January 2026) continues to drive scrutiny across Europe, but Norway has been hit hardest among Scandinavian countries, with multiple high-profile figures implicated in financial ties, emails, visits, and potential corruption.

Norway (Most Intense Fallout)
Norway has experienced a “political storm,” with investigations expanding and public confidence in institutions (including the monarchy and foreign ministry) under strain.

Crown Princess Mette-Marit:
– New details revealed extensive post-2008 contact (nearly 1,000 mentions), including emails joking about inappropriate topics, planning visits to Epstein properties, and her borrowing his Palm Beach home in 2013.
– She issued multiple apologies in early February, expressing “deepest regret” for the friendship, calling it “embarrassing,” and specifically apologizing to King Harald and Queen Sonja for the situation she put the royal family in.
– Pressure has mounted, with charities reviewing or cutting ties, public questions about her suitability as future queen, and Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre calling for more transparency while agreeing she showed “poor judgment.”
– No resignation or abdication, but combined with her stepson Marius Borg Høiby’s ongoing rape/assault trial (unrelated but amplifying royal scrutiny), it’s described as a potential “split” in the family and the biggest modern crisis for the Norwegian royals.

Mona Juul (Diplomat):
– Initially suspended (early February), she resigned as Norway’s ambassador to Jordan and Iraq around February 9, 2026, after revelations of ties, including Epstein’s will bequeathing $10 million to her and husband Terje Rød-Larsen’s children (signed shortly before his death).
– Norwegian Foreign Minister Espen Barth Eide cited a “serious lapse in judgment.”
– Ongoing ministry investigation into her knowledge/contact with Epstein.

Terje Rød-Larsen (her husband, former diplomat/UN envoy):
– Under police investigation for complicity in gross corruption (alongside Juul) by Økokrim (Norway’s economic crime unit), announced February 9, 2026.
– Files show visits to Epstein’s island (2011 with family), dinners (including 2019 in Paris), and financial dealings.

Thorbjørn Jagland (former PM, Nobel Committee chair, Council of Europe secretary-general):
– Police opened an “aggravated corruption” investigation (early February), including home searches (reported February 12).
– Council of Europe waived his immunity at Norway’s request to allow legal processes.
– Ties include emails, gifts/loans/benefits from Epstein during his Nobel/COE roles.

Broader Norwegian Actions:
– Parliament appointed a rare external inquiry into the Foreign Ministry’s Epstein links (around February 10).
– Økokrim confirmed comprehensive, long-term probes into multiple figures.
– Other mentions (e.g., former FM Børge Brende attending post-conviction dinners) but no major new fallout.

Sweden
Joanna Rubinstein (former chair of Sweden for UNHCR): Resigned February 2, 2026, after files showed her 2012 family visit to Epstein’s island (post-conviction) and a thankful email. No further developments; she distanced herself, calling abuses “horrific.”
Princess Sofia: Broke silence around February 10–11, addressing “a couple” of encounters/meetings but denying deeper involvement. Royal court maintains denials; no resignation or probe.
No new major resignations, investigations, or business/political fallout reported.

Denmark
Mentions of King Frederik (as former Crown Prince) in 2012 emails remain downplayed/denied by the royal family.
No confirmed resignations, investigations, or significant new revelations tied to Danish figures. Rumors about business leaders/politicians persist online but lack substantiation in reports.


The scandal has broader European ripples (e.g., UK, Slovakia), but Scandinavia – especially Norway – remains a focal point due to elite/diplomatic ties. Probes are ongoing, and more details could emerge as files are analyzed. No evidence of criminal charges yet in Scandinavia, but corruption angles are serious.


 

The Epstein fallout in Scandinavia – so far

February 3, 2026

@grok

ktwop:

There seems to have been a significant Scandinavian fallout from the Epstein files. What is the actual Scandinavian fallout so far?

grok: 

The Epstein files, which include millions of pages of documents released by the U.S. Department of Justice in early 2026, have revealed various connections between Jeffrey Epstein and individuals in Scandinavian countries (Norway, Sweden, and Denmark). These mentions primarily involve emails, messages, and references to meetings or communications, but they do not include direct accusations of criminal wrongdoing against the named Scandinavians. The fallout has been limited to public apologies, regrets, and one confirmed resignation, with no major legal actions or abdications reported as of February 3, 2026. Below is a breakdown by country, based on verified reports.

Norway

  • Crown Princess Mette-Marit: She is mentioned extensively in the files (over 1,000 times in some analyses), with emails and messages showing repeated contact between 2011 and at least 2014 – longer and more frequent than she previously admitted in a 2019 apology. Examples include her calling Epstein a “sweetheart,” joking about adultery, and discussing topics like “wife hunt” trips. She visited his Palm Beach property and used his staff for travel arrangements. In response to the 2026 releases, Mette-Marit issued a statement expressing regret, calling the association “simply embarrassing” and acknowledging poor judgment. Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre publicly agreed with her self-assessment, stating she showed “poor judgment.” The Norwegian royal palace has denied any financial ties or deeper involvement, and there have been no calls for her to step down.
  • Other connections: Former Norwegian Prime Minister Thorbjørn Jagland (also former Nobel Committee chair and Council of Europe secretary-general) is referenced in messages with Epstein about politics, but no wrongdoing is alleged, and he has not commented or faced consequences.
  • No resignation: No Norwegian official has resigned due to the files. However, Ambassador Mona Juul—a celebrated Norwegian diplomat known for her pivotal role in brokering the 1990s Oslo Accords—was temporarily suspended from her duties on that date pending an investigation into her alleged ties to Jeffrey Epstein.
  • Broader impact: The revelations have coincided with unrelated scandals involving Mette-Marit’s stepson, Marius Borg Høiby, who faces 38 criminal charges including rape and assault (trial began February 2, 2026). This has amplified media scrutiny on the Norwegian royals, described by some historians as the biggest scandal in Norway’s modern royal history, but it’s not directly linked to Epstein.

Sweden

  • Princess Sofia: She is referenced in the files, but details are limited to mentions without specifics of meetings or wrongdoing. The Swedish royal court has denied any involvement or attendance at Epstein-related events. No public statement from Sofia has been reported, and there has been no significant backlash or calls for her to step back from duties.
  • UN official resignation: Joanna Rubinstein (sometimes spelled Rubinstein in sources) resigned on February 2, 2026, from her position as chair of Sweden for UNHCR—the fundraising arm of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) in Sweden.
  • Other connections: The files allege a Swedish man (not named in summaries) helped recruit women for Epstein over years, but no confirmed identities or actions have led to fallout. Barbro C. Ehnbom, a Swedish leadership program organizer, is mentioned in emails with Epstein post-2008, but no consequences reported.
  • Broader impact: Public discussion has been muted, with the royal family focusing on family events amid the controversy.

Denmark

  • King Frederik (formerly Crown Prince): He is mentioned in 2012 emails between Epstein and businessman Ian Osborne, but without details of direct contact or wrongdoing. The Danish royal family has downplayed or denied any direct/recent ties.
  • Rumors about business leaders and politicians: No confirmed connections or fallout in the files or subsequent reports. Speculation exists online (e.g., about elite networks), but nothing substantiated has led to resignations or investigations.
  • Broader impact: Minimal public reaction; the mentions have not escalated into scandals.
Overall, the Scandinavian fallout remains contained to reputational damage and one resignation, with royals issuing statements of regret or denial.

No evidence of pregnancies, financial payouts, or deeper involvement (as rumored in some X posts) has been confirmed in official releases or reporting.

The files continue to be analyzed, so further developments are possible.


Both Venezuela and Greenland are part of the Great US-China Game

January 20, 2026

I have been amazed at the stupidity of the European response to Trump’s rhetoric about Greenland. They seem to have no clue as to the game that is being played. While Trump is negotiating they are reacting to tactics and red herrings and have no idea what the end goal is and even which game is being played. It is not that Trump is conferring idiocy upon the clueless European leaders – they have been self-harming themselves!

For the US (Trump) the motive in both regions is not personal pique or detest for Maduro. It is not either about resources for just their own sake.  This is part of the Great Game between the US and China for the coming 100 years. It is about strategic leverage against China’s growing global footprint. That is the thread tying them together. In another century it was the Great Britain and Russia. The US and China are taking the Great Game to new regions. The serious geo-political analysts see it. I am afraid that the European leaders get bogged down and utterly distracted by Trump’s injection of red herrings which they just cannot discern.


Venezuela – Yes oil but not only oil

Venezuela’s primary strategic value is its natural resources, above all oil. It has the world’s largest proven oil reserves. The recent U.S. intervention and pressure campaign explicitly cites oil access and disruption of adversarial influence as motives.

  1. China has deep financial and commercial ties with Venezuela, long providing loans and buying Venezuelan energy and commodities.
  2. Venezuelan rare earths and critical minerals are potential future assets — but currently underdeveloped, lacking infrastructure and clear exploitation plans.

The U.S. objectives are no secret and have been discussed so openly that I wonder why reporters of the lower kind and one-note politicians so easily forget.

  1. Deny China Easy Access to Resources
    Even if Venezuela isn’t a top rare-earth producer today, Washington sees value in preventing Beijing from locking up any potential resources or influence that could reduce U.S. leverage. This jibes with official U.S. rhetoric about countering “non-hemispheric competitors.”
  2. Break China’s Growing Footprint in the Region
    Latin America isn’t neutral territory anymore. China is a major trading partner across many states, and U.S. strategy now frames this as a geostrategic threat – something that could give Beijing leverage deep in the Western Hemisphere.
  3. Strategic Oil Supply and Energy Security
    Oil still matters as base strategic power: controlling Venezuelan oil limits Beijing’s access to energy markets, which could constrain China’s industrial or military trajectory in a crisis.
  4. Supply Chain & Rare Earth Sentiment
    Some U.S. policy thinkers argue the future of tech and defence depends on diversifying supply chains away from China – and Venezuela’s minerals could play into that if infrastructure and political stability were achieved.

My assessment is that the U.S. wants to disrupt Chinese access. This fits with how Washington/Rubio/Trump are now framing their moves. This is a long-term geo-political play about material resources and influence. A not insignificant part is the rare earths  potential in Venezuela even if they are not yet a fully realized asset.

Greenland: Raw Materials and Strategic Geography

Greenland doesn’t fit exactly the same profile as Venezuela, but it does fit the same pattern. It is about access to strategic resources and a denial of geo-political access to China. Greenland hosts some of the richest deposits of rare earth elements outside China. U.S. strategic planners see this as a way — someday — to dilute China’s dominance in critical raw materials that power everything from electric vehicles to missiles. Besides minerals, Greenland is a gateway to the Arctic — territory increasingly contested by Russia and China. U.S. military interest there reflects broader strategic positioning. Rather than wait for China (or Russia) to embed itself economically or militarily, the U.S. has pushed aggressive diplomacy, investment deals, and even territorial rhetoric, explicitly meant to keep rival influence out.

Extracting rare earths in Greenland is currently expensive, technically difficult, and far from market scale. Greenland’s harsh climate and lack of infrastructure make mining a long-term project. But from a strategic viewpoint, that doesn’t matter much — the U.S. wants to lock in preferential access and preclude China from doing so first.


The Great Game: supply chain security 

Both cases tie into a bigger story about critical minerals, supply chains, and great-power competition:

  1. China still controls a vast share of refining and processing for rare earths and other minerals, not just mining.

  2. The U.S. has made securing alternative sources, both domestic and allied, a declared priority, often written and described in the language of national security.

  3. Latin America and the Arctic are the competitive regions for the next century where access to resources and influence matters as much as traditional military positioning.

  4. Within the next century new off-Earth regions of supply chain competition and security will be opening up with the moon (China present and US playing catch-up) and Mars (US first) already included within strategic planning

This not about gestures and virtue signalling and personal pique. It is plain and simple geopolitics.

Who is going to have control of critical raw materials and whose military or economic reach will have dominance in key regions?

That is the game being played not whether the Peace Prize can be legally shared or not!!


Afterword

U.S. actions in Venezuela and Greenland are partly about denying China access to strategic resources and partly about securing their own access:

  • Venezuela: important for oil access and preventing Chinese economic dominance in the hemisphere; rare earths are a secondary but growing part of that calculus.

  • Greenland: a long-range bet on critical materials, strategic geography, and preemptive advantage over China and Russia.

This is part of the Great Game between the US and China for the coming 100 years. It is about strategic leverage against China’s growing global footprint. That is the thread tying Venezuela and Greenland together.


Strategic Importance of Greenland | SOF News


Machado v. the Nobel Committee: When Branding Overreaches Ownership

January 17, 2026

(I dislike the Nobel Peace Prize as being all about politics and being inherently inimical to peace. The Norwegian Nobel Committee are also too woke, self-righteous and sanctimonious for my liking. Too many of the awards are just plain ridiculous and entirely statements of political correctness. But this flurry of stupidity caught my attention this week).


In the wake of María Corina Machado’s decision this week (January 15, 2026) to “present” her 2025 Nobel Peace Prize medal to Donald Trump in the Oval Office, we have witnessed the faintly ridiculous spectacle of a venerable (though somewhat senile) institution getting defensive and huffy about a gift it no longer owns.

The Norwegian Nobel Committee (NC) has responded with a flurry of “cease and desist” style public relations, reminding the world that the prize “cannot be transferred, shared, or revoked.” But in their rush to protect the “Nobel” brand, the Committee is entering the world of nonsense with a legal and logical absurdity.

The Myth of Permanent Authority

The NC’s central argument is that the award and the laureate are “inseparable.” They contend that while Machado can physically hand over the gold, the status of being the 2025 winner remains hers “for all time.”

But this is where the logic fails:

  1. The Right to Award vs. the Right to Own: The NC owns the right to select the winner. Once that choice is made and the physical assets (the medal, the diploma, the money) are handed over, the ownership of the prize, practically and legally, shifts to the recipient.
  2. The Power of Words: If Machado stands in the White House and says, “I share this with you,” she is not usurping the NC’s authority to grant awards. She is exercising her right as an owner to define the meaning of her property.
  3. The Record vs. Reality: The NC can keep their Register of Laureates in Oslo however they like, but they have no legal authority over how a laureate interprets their own achievement in the public square.

Defensive Branding or Political Insecurity?

The sheer vehemence of the NC’s recent press releases is counterproductive. By issuing multiple statements within a single week, the Committee suggests that their 2025 decision is so fragile that it requires constant shielding from the “wrong” people.

When an institution shouts this loudly about why someone isn’t a winner, it stops sounding like a defense of history and starts sounding like a defensive reaction to current politics. If the award is truly “final and stands for all time,” why does the Committee feel the need to argue with a photo-op?

The “Law is an Ass” Problem

To claim that a recipient cannot “share” the honour of their work is to treat the Nobel Prize like a lease rather than a gift. In any other legal context, once a gift is given, the giver loses the right to dictate its subsequent use or interpretation.

By insisting that Machado cannot “transfer” the sentiment of the prize, the NC is trying to police the thoughts and associations of its laureates. They are essentially saying: “We gave you this, but we still control what it means.”

Conclusion

The Nobel Committee would do well to remember that their prestige should come from the merit of their choices (not very impressive lately) and not from their ability to act as a “history monitor.” María Corina Machado can give her medal to whomever she chooses. Donald Trump can claim he “has” a Nobel. The NC can keep their books in Oslo. But when the Committee tries to assert “authority” over a laureate’s personal property and public statements, they aren’t protecting the brand. They are just confirming that, sometimes, the law (and the institution) can be an ass.


How to fold a UN flag

January 8, 2026

I do like this one.

The UN is not fit for purpose and needs to be disbanded.

Credit to : https://x.com/degenJambo/status/2009059463475716245?s=20