Popular vote, counties won and other nonsense

So Trump was confirmed by the Electoral College. It is not certain though that this will end the state of denial that Clinton’s supporters and the Clinton news media are stuck in.

The Democrats and Clinton’s campaign and her supporters are making much of her getting about 2.7 million votes more than Donald Trump – country wide – in the presidential election. This margin includes Clinton getting about 1.5 million more in New York than Trump and about 4.3 million more in California. But the race was never about the total popular vote but about winning the popular vote in each state and thereby winning the members of the Electoral College from that state. It is a mix of geography and population and not just population. It is the same mix of geography and population that gives the total number of members of Congress (Senate + House) from each state.

In the 48 states other than New York and California, Donald Trump won about 3.1 million more votes than Hillary Clinton.

Trump won 30 states compared to Clinton’s 20.

Therefore he should have won – without faithless electors – 306 votes to Clinton’s 232. In the event, 2 electors defected from Trump while 5 defected from Clinton giving a final result of 304 for Trump and 227 for Clinton.

Trump also won 2626 counties compared to Clinton’s 487 (AP data). But the number of counties in a state is of no relevance.

The criticism of the Electoral College, now, by sore losers is just a little stupid. The game was the Electoral College and not the popular vote. The arguments being put forward about the popular vote by Clinton devotees are also a little stupid. Those arguments would require that China and India each would have 4 votes in the UN to one for the US (and Sweden would then have 0.03 of a vote).

The counties only provide a picture of the geographic reach of the candidates. And the geographical picture is of an utter dominance of Republican counties.

Trump's reach by county

Trump’s reach by county


 

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