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With 3 weeks to go the Indian monsoon rains have recovered somewhat

The Indian monsoon season officially covers the 4 months from June to September. Rainfall after the first 2 months was running some 25% less than “normal” and there were fears of severe effects not only directly on agricultural output but also for the knock-on effects on agriculture-related industry. But with 3 weeks left to go the rains seem to have recovered partially such that the total rainfall is running only 8% less than”normal”.

From IMD

2012 monsoon rainfall till 10th September / image IMD

At the end of July the rainfall map was dominated by “pink” deficient states and with even a couple of “yellow” scanty states. The situation has improved considerably though the late rains will not be as beneficial as they could have been a few weeks ago. Nevertheless, 2012 will probably be considered – statistically – a pretty average year and this monsoon will not be a “bad” one. Since the difference between a “good” monsoon (about +10 -15%) and a bad one (-15%)  is thought to about 2% for the annual GDP, this partial recovery will come as a relief to many.

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This entry was posted on September 10, 2012 at 6:16 pm and is filed under Climate, India, Weather. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

One Response to “With 3 weeks to go the Indian monsoon rains have recovered somewhat”

  1. Unknown's avatar Late surge gives some flooding but overall a “normal” 2012 Indian monsoon « The k2p blog Says:
    September 30, 2012 at 9:10 am

    […] Related: https://ktwop.wordpress.com/2012/09/10/with-3-weeks-to-go-the-indian-monsoon-rains-have-recovered-som… […]

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