MH370 Hijacking: The nightmare scenario is that the plane has landed

This post is a little low on fact and high on speculation.

Considering the deliberate nature of the actions, the sophistication involved and the success in keeping things quiet,  it would be foolish to think that the hijackers did not have an end-game planned. And such an end-gane would not have been just diving into the sea or running out of fuel.

This is the map issued by the Malaysian authorities. The red lines are the two possible corridors where MH370 was detected by a satellite over the Indian Ocean. (I have emphasised the track and the text).

Air corridor location of MH370

Air corridor location of MH370

The Northern Track suggests the aircraft is on land somewhere from Northern Thailand into Tibetan China and all the way to Kyrgyzstan. The track  from the Andaman Sea to join this corridor would go through Myanmar and just touch Bangladesh and a bit of India but seems to miss Bhutan and Nepal. The Southern track goes southwards deep into the Southern Indian Ocean where there are only a few isolated islands. 

The most likely location for MH370 according to some officials is on land somewhere near the Chinese/Kyrgyztan border. If it has landed then it has been there for over a week. By now it is surely well camouflaged and the passengers must be in some kind of camp.

Possible land location MH370

Possible land location MH370

But where was the Thai and Chinese (and Myanmar and Indian and Bangladeshi) military radar?

There are 239 lives at stake of course. But the nightmare scenario is if this incident is not yet over. If they are still alive and being held as potential hostages to be used again.

  • With a hijacking virtually confirmed, the likelihood is high that China would have been/ will be the target.
  • If China is the target then the focus is on the Uighurs.
  • But Beijing city itself could not have been the target since the flight was already cleared for that flight path.
  • Support for the Uighurs in their struggle against China is evident in many Islamic countries.
  • This could have been an attack to follow up on the Kunming Railway Station attack – presumed to be by Uighurs. 
  • Thailand is not friendly to Uighurs seeking refuge and usually deports them back to China. 
  • The fake passports were lost in Thailand – whether or not the two Iranians using those fake passports were involved.
  • The Uighurs have sympathisers in Malaysia.
  • Malaysian police and Interpol are apparently combing through the personal backgrounds of passengers and crew on the missing Boeing 777-200, especially a 35-year-old passenger of Uighur descent.
  • There were reports last week soon after the plane vanished that the Chinese were playing down warnings of a forthcoming attack that they had received.
  • The aircraft flew for 7 hours after normal communication ceased. It has been tracked – sort of – for about 4 hours but where it went in the last 2 -3 hours is unknown.
  • The intelligence and security communities are hoping it was lost at sea and has not landed safely somewhere.

China was quick to criticise Malaysia for slow responses and lack of information  but the focus will now be on the Chinese and what they knew and what they know.

The nightmare scenario unfolds if the hijacked aircraft is not lost at sea but has been landed and can be used again. How would countries react if this aircraft suddenly appeared in their airspace? Would they have any option but to shoot it down? Even if it was carrying innocent hostages? And there are potentially 230+ hostages.

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3 Responses to “MH370 Hijacking: The nightmare scenario is that the plane has landed”

  1. alejo Says:

    The nightmare scenario is that they went through this trouble because they wanted a plane with the 777 range.
    Maybe to use for a chemical, biological or nuclear attack…

    I think if it would be a typical highjack they would have already said something. Hard to keep so many hostages so long for nothing.

    By the way GOOD JOB! Didn’t know about this blog but your coverage of this situation is awesome

    Thank you!!!


  2. Philippe "Keb" Blanchard Says:

    I love your blog on #MH370. I think it’s the right mix of cold-hard facts and educated guesses.

    I’m also looking at those maps — Especially this one, from the Malaysian military tracking:

    …and I see a pattern that would bring that plane UP toward the “northern corridor.”

    Consequently, I also *really* fail to see any logic in the plane heading south from the “Igrex” waypoint, and from there down to the “southern corridor”?


    I just don’t see it. Yet I read somewhere people saying it appears the plane DID head south after it reached the Andaman Sea?

    Any hints of additional info on that aspect anywhere?


  3. Jenna Smith Says:

    This scenario makes sense to me now, given the outcome of the searches in the Indian Ocean. I think the plane was hijacked by Putin, to have hostages to trade with the West. It is no coincidence the anexation of Crimea and the possible invasion of Ukraine. The CIA must know the outcome of this ordeal. Why won’t they tel the rest of us? I am afraid to fly now.

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