In spite of a forecast of a deficient monsoon, a late start and a possible El Nino year, so far, so good.
The advance of the monsoon front is a little slow across central India and into the North West. Pakistan is experiencing a heat wave.
monsoon advance June 21st 2015 – IMD
Rainfall has been holding up quite well. Accumulated rainfall across the entire country (weighted average) in the 3 weeks of the 16 week long monsoon season is running about 11% higher than the long-term average. Rainfall is deficient (from a low expected value) only in the North West region and is above average elsewhere. Even rainfall in the Southern region which often starts deficient is running some 20% above average. In this period the heaviest rainfall is usually in the North East and even here it is running 5% above normal.
rainfall till 20th june 2015 – IMD
The start, at least, is better than was feared and the government will be relieved that the emergency plans for “drought” conditions will not, yet, need to be activated.
Tags: Monsoon, monsoon advance
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