In Sweden, coronavirus deaths are almost invisible among average daily deaths

In response to great demand Sweden’s Statistics Central Bureau (SCB) has published daily deaths (all causes) data for 2015 – 2020.

For the month of March 2020, the daily total deaths do not appear much different than the average for 2015-2019. The average daily death toll is about 250 (+/- 30). The coronavirus has been responsible (so far) for about 30 fatalities per day but there is some probable offset due to reduction of deaths from some other causes. During March there is no visible spike in total daily deaths that can be attributed to the coronavirus.

Daily Deaths March 2020 compared to average 2015-2019

We can never know what it would have been without a lockdown. What is visible during March is that with the voluntary lockdown in place, fatalities by all causes have not increased significantly.

In a few months, when the outbreak has been brought under control, I will not be surprised if we will be asking if the level of economic disruption was worth it.


 

Tags: , ,


<span>%d</span> bloggers like this: