Posts Tagged ‘Great Sendai Quake’

Fukushima Dai-ichi situation worsening and TEPCO is unsure how to proceed

March 16, 2011

1100 CET: The SDF helicopter cooling attempt was aborted for high radiation levels above the plent. New cooling attempts will use a water cannon on a fire truck borrowed from the US military.

From Paris, the BBC’s Christian Fraser says that France’s decision to offer its Tokyo-based citizens the chance to leave is partially motivated by domestic political problems.

0830 CET: Japanese TV reports that an SDF helicopter has taken off to spray water onto the plant. Helicopter spraying will be difficult to direct accurately and was thought to be a “last resort”. This suggests that other options are not feasible.

It is snowing in Fukushima.

0730 CET: Some workers have returned as radiation levels have fallen at the Fukushima Dai-ichi plant. While the Nikkei has risen some 6%, TEPCO shares have tanked. They were untraded but were bid down by the daily limit and are down 24.7%.

The operation could take on a military footing and responsibility could shift from TEPCO to the military. The Japanese Defence Minister has just said that if cooling efforts fail, the SDF would move in and SDF helicopters would spray water onto the plant.

TEPCO press releases are worthless and give virtually no information and the main source of public information is by the Chief Cabinet Secretary’s Edano’s press conferences. He himself is  impressive and generates some trust but it means that all information is being “politically” vetted so as not to be too alarmist. But just the filtering of information itself leads to assumptions (which may or may not be justified) that the actual information is worse than is being released. TEPCO’s communications and press conferences are not impressive.

Status at 0600 CET 16th March:

Work at the reactors may have stopped because radiation levels were too high. Radiation is fluctuating and has reached high levels at times. Levels were being reported in milli Sieverts(mS) rather than micro Sieverts (μS). For short periods levels upto 11 mS (11,000 μS). The normal working limit of 100 mS was raised 3 days ago to 250 mS and levels have been higher in parts of the plant.

The Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear plant is being continuously subjected to new problems. All problems are unprecedented in the wake of the quake and the tsunami but TEPCO’s ability to cope is now raising cause for concern. Personnel from Toshiba, the manufacturer of the plant, have been called in by TEPCO. The initial plant design was to withstand earthquakes of magnitude 8.2 and it has been through a magnitude 9.0 quake some 15 times stronger than the design value. But the height of the tsunami wave was something not designed for. TEPCO spokesmen are getting testy when questioned and this is also an indication that they are frustrated and confused.

I have revised my view that TEPCO was in control of the situation. TEPCO seems to be unsure how to proceed.

Reactor #3 containment vessel is damaged and emitting steam (smoke?) and radiation. TEPCO does not know what it is. Workers near the central control room were evacuated temporarily(?). Workers are evacuated at levels higher than 259 Milli Sieverts.

Reactor #4 spent fuel pool is getting dangerous again. Pictures of the fire on 15th here were shown by TEPCO. It seems as if radiation levels here are also too high for workers to approach and attempt cooling. Winds and/or radiation levels are preventing the use of helicopters to dump water onto the reactor#4 spent fuel pool through a hole in the building roof. No other way to get cooling started seems to have been found.

Reactor #4 at Fukushima Dai-ichi still unstable and could become critical.

March 15, 2011

While the situation at reactors # 1,  and 3 is stable with cooling by sea-water ongoing, the situation of the spent fuel pool at reactor no. 4 is still very serious and radiation leakage is still continuing. Reactor no. 2  suppression vessel is damaged and cooling is ongoing but the situation was not yet considered stable. Radiation levels are too high for technicians to get close to the reactor #4 pool to inject sea-water. The pool temperature was at 84°C and double the normal temperature of about 40 °C. The 20km zone evacuation around the plant was completed on Tuesday afternoon.

The option of trying to drop water by helicopter through a hole in the roof has been discarded since the pool is offset from the hole.

The use of specialised fire trucks with equipment which would allow water to be injected into the pool is being considered.

Getting fresh cooling water into the pool is now becoming very urgent and unless this is achieved the situation could become critical. As the temperature increases hydrogen could be produced and another hydrogen fire with an associated release of radiation becomes more probable.

Reuters reports that “Two workers are missing after Tuesday’s explosion at one of the reactors at a crippled Japanese nuclear plant, the country’s nuclear safety agency said.

The agency did not identify the missing workers, but said they were in the turbine area of the No.4 reactor at the Fukushima nuclear plant, which was damaged by last Friday’s earthquake and tsunami”.

Does France have special information about Fukushima?

March 15, 2011

o600 CET : Wednesday 16th: France is now urging its nationals in Tokyo to leave Japan or head to the south of the country, Reuters reports. It says Paris has asked the Air France carrier to provide planes for the evacuation. The BBC’s Chris Hogg in Tokyo says the evacuation will begin on Thursday. Two French planes are already on their way to Japan.

It could be that France has access to some special information that the problems at the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear plants are much worse than anything being reported in Japan or by the IAEA, but the almost orchestrated negativity from French Agencies is noteworthy.

Politicians and agencies are positive about support for Japan regarding the earthquake and the tsunami, but the negativity  is focused around the Fukushima nuclear plant and is particularly noticeable from Agence France Presse, the French Nuclear Agency and French Radio.

I tend to be extremely suspicious of  French nuclear politics and cannot help feeling that there is an agenda here which involves being as negative as possible about the Japanese nuclear industry to later show up how the French nuclear industry is so much better.

  1. France’s nuclear safety authority says it classifies the Fukushima plant accident as level six. The maximum is level seven, used only once for the 1986 Chernobyl accident, Reuters reports. The Japanese Nuclear Agency has classified the event as Level 4.
  2. Europe’s Energy Commissioner says Japan’s nuclear disaster is an “apocalypse”, adding that Tokyo has almost lost control of events at the Fukushima power plant, AFP report.
  3. AFP reports that several countries are screening passengers on flights arriving from Japan.
  4. Radio France to withdraw staff in Japan after nuclear accidents: Dow Jones

But at the same time France’s Foreign Minister Alain Juppe has said: “We expressed our admiration for the dignity and the courage shown by the Japanese during this unprecedented ordeal. We expressed our confidence in the way the Japanese authorities have faced the aftermath of the disaster with such efficiency, which the whole world has recognised.”