November 4, 2012
There is virtually nothing in the physical universe around us that is not worthy of study. Most study begins with observations. We can term any such area of study where observations are made and knowledge accumulated as being a “discipline”. The social “sciences”, environmentalism and even astrology and palmistry could be considered disciplines.
But when does a discipline become a science?
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Tags: Causality, discipline, Falsifiability, Hypothesis, pseudoscience, Science, scientific method
Posted in Philosophy, Science | 3 Comments »
November 3, 2012
There are still alarmists and Malthusians who believe that the world will face catastrophe due to overpopulation. They believe that the carrying capacity of the earth has been exceeded, that there will be food shortages, energy shortages and resource shortages in every field; that – in short – the population will not be able to sustain itself let alone to maintain growth.
But like so many alarmist theories (be it global warming or peak oil or peak gas or GM crops) the overpopulation meme builds on beliefs and ignores evidence. The environmentalists are increasingly taking faith-based and anti-science positions. Alarmism invokes political correctness and “consensus beliefs” rather than evidence to silence criticism . Even hard-core environmentalists are beginning to question this myopic adhesion to ideology (Environment360).
Just taking the overpopulation myth as an example, the data and projections in the United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2011): World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York (Updated: 15 April 2011) are pretty unambiguous and revealing. Within 100 years world population will be declining. The majority of children being born today in the developed world will live to be over 100 years old. There will begin to be a shortage of the required “productive population” relative to the “supported populations of the young and the retired” – a problem already evident in Japan and other developed countries. In Sweden (and some other European countries) for example, this proportion is being maintained only by means of immigration and the slight consequent increase in average fertility rates. The “productive population” in Germany would be below the required level were it not for the “guest workers”. The 11 million or so “illegal immigrants” who are nearly all part of the “productive population” in the US are a vital part of maintaining this balance.
The challenge in 2100 will be to maintain the balance between those “producing” to those “supported” in a declining and aging population. Perhaps immigration or population migrations or productivity increases by the use of robots and an increase in the age one joins the “supported” population will be parts of the solution. I have no doubt that solutions will be found, but the “overpopulation problem” would have left the stage.
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Tags: aging, demographics, overpopulation, Population, population decline, World population
Posted in Aging, Alarmism, Demographics | 4 Comments »
November 2, 2012
An Australian group of scientists have published the results of a new study in the October issue of The British Journal of Sports Medicine.
This then passes for “scientific research”!!!
From the New York Times:
…. Every single hour of television watched after the age of 25 reduces the viewer’s life expectancy by 21.8 minutes.
By comparison, smoking a single cigarette reduces life expectancy by about 11 minutes, the authors said. ……
Ah well! They are scientists, probably wear white coats and could not possibly be idiots.
Tags: Cigarette, Health, Life expectancy, Television
Posted in Alarmism, Behaviour, Trivia | Comments Off on Cut out one hour of watching TV and you can smoke two extra cigarettes!
November 1, 2012
I have posted earlier about the disturbing ethical questions with the “Care Pathways” in the UK which operate in the grey zone between euthanasia and execution.
But it is more than just disturbing when UK hospitals run by NHS trusts apparently get financial benefits if they increase the number of terminally-ill patients who are put onto the so-called “Care Pathways”. Once someone is “put on a Care Pathway” they are effectively written off. Medication may be withdrawn, water and food may be withheld and any chance of continuing to live or of any recovery are removed – intentionally – from the equation. “Care” is provided but now with the intention of causing death. The sooner such patients die the better the use of resources!
I cannot see how any “Care Pathway” where there is an incentive to ensure that a patient dies and dies quickly can be anything other than an intentional termination of life. But is it euthanasia or is it murder or is it an execution?
Where the patient truly wishes to die it is effectively euthanasia. But where the patient would wish to live if he could only get better we get into a dangerous zone between euthanasia and execution. Can all attempts to “make the patient better” be abandoned by a hospital because someone other than the patient has decided that the patient cannot get better? When it is relatives who are pushing to get the patient onto a “Care Pathway” it comes close to murder. And when it is the hospitals or the hospital staff who are “incentivised” to get the patient onto the “Care Pathway” it gets close to being an execution. The decision to put someone onto a “Care Pathway” is itself then an irrevocable sentence of death. Why not – having passed sentence – just give them a quick, quiet lethal injection after putting them on a “Care Pathway”? Why go through the charade of care while ensuring the patients rapid demise? The 33 hours these patients survive on average after being put on a “Care Pathway” could be reduced to zero. Why not provide incentives to hospitals to
- maximise the number of patients put onto a “Care Pathway”, and then
- minimise the amount of time spent on such a Pathway?
This could get rid of many hundreds – if not thousands – of problematic and elderly patients who only absorb resources, no longer provide any useful contribution to society and are just a pain for their relatives. It would not be a very large step to converting the corpses to Soylent Green.
The Telegraph:
The majority of hospitals in England are being given financial rewards for placing terminally-ill patients on a controversial “pathway” to death…
Almost two thirds of NHS trusts using the Liverpool Care Pathway have received payouts totalling millions of pounds for hitting targets related to its use, research for The Daily Telegraph shows.
The figures, obtained under the Freedom of Information Act, reveal the full scale of financial inducements for the first time.
They suggest that about 85 per cent of trusts have now adopted the regime, which can involve the removal of hydration and nutrition from dying patients.
More than six out of 10 of those trusts – just over half of the total – have received or are due to receive financial rewards for doing so amounting to at least £12million.
At many hospitals more than 50 per cent of all patients who died had been placed on the pathway and in one case the proportion of forseeable deaths on the pathway was almost nine out of 10.
Last night the Department of Health insisted that the payments could help ensure that people were “treated with dignity in their final days and hours”.
But opponents described it as “absolutely shocking” that hospitals could be paid to employ potentially “lethal” treatments. ……
Tags: Care Pathway, Euthanasia, execution, Liverpool Care Pathway for the dying patient, murder, NHS, NHS trust
Posted in Behaviour, Ethics, Medicine, UK | 2 Comments »
November 1, 2012
Once upon a time I opened a Twitter account.
I found
- I followed nobody and nobody followed me
- I had no messages – of 140 characters or less – that I desired to paste indiscriminately and with no defined recipient on the Twitter noticeboard.
- When I wished to just write something – not specifically directed to anybody – it was easier to do it on my blog where I was not constrained to 140 characters
- I had no desire to let the world in general know what I was doing. Where I desired someone or some people to be informed about my activity – or inactivity – email and mobile phone texts were sufficient to my needs and were not constrained to 140 characters.
- I found my blog to be my extended space which provided an open access to the world but where I didn’t much care whether anybody read what I had written or not. What was important to me was clearly the writing of the post. The reading of the post by others was an incidental consequence of no great significance (to me).
- I found I used communication primarily as a tool to mobilise actions or to induce desired behaviour in others. Here the transmission of an information package was necessary but the transmission had to be well directed. Indiscriminate transmission of information was ineffective, irritating to the unintended reader and wasteful. To be effective the information package needed direction and needed to be complete for the intended purpose.
- Transmission of truncated and incomplete information led – more often than not – to misunderstandings and invoked unwanted responses
- Transmission of information without any purpose was not of interest to me
- Reading tweets written by twits did not seem to provide any value to me
Twitter is just another medium. The message inherent in this medium is that the tweeter is so obsessed by his own ego that he must broadcast his indiscriminate, purposeless, directionless, 140 character snippets about his life to the whole world. In short that the tweeter is a twit. Perhaps the medium has its uses. But the medium encourages a general “dumbing-down” of transmitted information. It uses “black and white” when “full colour” is available. It downgrades the quality of the information transmitted.
Bad information leads to bad communication which gives bad actions.
It does not seem to add any value for me.
So, once upon another time, I closed my Twitter account.
Essence of a Manager
Chapter 4: Communication: Hearing What Isn’t Said
Communication is the tool that a manager must make use of to mobilise actions from his chosen actors. Communication is a process and not a singular event. It extends from the meaning that he selects and then through all the subsequent steps of converting the meaning into a message which he transmits as information making up a communiqué directed at a particular recipient. The process continues till it is received, interpreted and reconverted into meaning in the recipient’s mind. But the process is not complete until the manager gets the feedback confirming that his intended meaning has been successfully transferred. The manager retains responsibility throughout the entire process. Language and culture enable communication and are not barriers. Focusing on the recipient leads naturally to the process required to generate the desired meanings in his mind. Any manager can make himself into a good communicator. Some will have to work harder at it than others. But being aware of the steps contained within a communications process is where the learning starts.
Tags: communication, information packages, Twitter
Posted in Communication, Media | Comments Off on So, once upon another time, I closed my Twitter account
November 1, 2012
twit – A silly or foolish person.
to twit – to be in a state of nervous excitement: “we’re in a twit about your visit”
Are all tweeters twits? Is it only twits who tweet?
But there are many types of tweeters:
- Low-life tweeters who merely follow: They are rarely interesting except in contributing to trends. This group includes journalists and groupies. Journalists sift through tweets as if rummaging through dustbins looking for a scoop. For groupies there is the delusion of participation; instant and vicarious gratification. Twits
- Rich and famous tweeters: These are the people who need their egos to be constantly fed, who must live in the public eye and need reassurance that their fame still lives. They live in perpetual fear of the loss of their fame. Twits
- Politicians: They think that their expositions of political policy in 140 characters or less can get them re-elected or make them popular or can get out the young vote or ……..? Twits
- Activists, revolutionaries and rabble-rousers: They hunt for subjects to hang their punch lines onto. Success is in getting a trend going or getting a flash mob together. Twits
- Would be socialites and socialists. They set up their stalls in the hope that their 140 characters will be perceived as funny, witty, sexy, profound or insightful. They are easily gratified and are quite happy to have manged to expand a thought into something as long as 140 characters. Twits
- Corporate tweeters: These are usually overpaid and underworked PR types or advertisers selling something (usually something quite unnecessary) and who live in a fantasy of creating a “hit” or a “best-seller” in 140 characters or less. Twits
- Updates
- Re-tweeters: Who have nothing original to say for themselves but who try to remain in the thick of things by re-tweeting. Twits
I am unable to find a category of tweeters who could be considered high-class.
There may be tweeters who are not twits. But that remains to be demonstrated. The empirical evidence suggests that all tweeters are twits.
My hypothesis is that only twits tweet.
“The medium is the message” – Marshall McLuhan
Perhaps the message of the Twitter medium is that the tweeter is a twit.
Tags: Tweeter, Twits, Twitter
Posted in Media, Trivia | 1 Comment »
October 30, 2012
Are US politics and media channels driven by fear-mongering and alarmism?
By the time it hit the US coast, the storm system Sandy which had been hyped by an alarmist media, irresponsible insurance companies and a frightened set of politicians into the “worst storm ever to hit the US” had fizzled to be a tropical storm.
The National Hurricane Center has downgraded Sandy to a “post-tropical cyclone,” as it approaches the New Jersey coast.
It was no hurricane which hit the US coast.
It was no doubt a severe storm but was it really worth cancelling 8,000 flights for?
Tags: Alarmism, hurricanes, Sandy, tropical storm Sandy, Weather Phenomena
Posted in Alarmism, US, Weather | Comments Off on Superstorm Sandy fizzles to a tropical storm
October 28, 2012
Tags: Alarmism, climate, fraud, scientists
Posted in Academic misconduct, Alarmism, Fraud | Comments Off on The Nobel prize that wasn’t: A self proclaimed scientist with a self proclaimed Nobel prize
October 17, 2012
An article in The Telegraph caught my eye while watching the US Presidential debate at my hotel.
A rather disturbing development in the UK and I don’t like the ethics of the situation. Euthanasia is voluntary but I am not sure that the Liverpool Care Pathway is. It is a pathway which leads to the death of the patient /victim in about 33 hours. I wonder who this pathway serves? At first sight it seems to be primarily for the benefit of hospitals and doctors and health care system costs. Perhaps for relatives.
The Telegraph:
Mary Cooper, 79, died a few days after being put on the Liverpool Care Pathway at the Queen Elizabeth Hospital in King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
The pathway, originally designed to ease the suffering of terminally ill cancer patients in their very last days, is being used more and more widely in NHS hospitals.
The idea behind the LCP is to give patients a ‘good death’ by avoiding unnecessary and burdensome medical interventions.
However, there have been accusations it hastens death because it can involve the removal of hydration and nutrition.
The LCP leads over 100,000 people to death every year – just in the UK. It smacks of execution of the elderly for convenience.
Daily Mail:
There are around 450,000 deaths in Britain each year of people who are in hospital or under NHS care. Around 29 per cent – 130,000 – are of patients who were on the LCP. …. Professor Pullicino claimed that far too often elderly patients who could live longer are placed on the LCP and it had now become an ‘assisted death pathway rather than a care pathway’.
An assisted death for someone who does not wish to die is an execution.
Tags: ethics, Euthanasia, execution of the elderly, Liverpool Care Pathway, National Health Service
Posted in Behaviour, Ethics, Medicine, UK | 3 Comments »
October 17, 2012
Over the last 30+ years of doing business around the world the one certain indicator for me that corruption is rife and that a bribe is being solicited is when unforeseen delays occur in a permitting or licencing process and/or when an “approval” is conditional or restricted. Politicians and bureaucrats everywhere use the bidding, procurement and regulatory machinery as their opportunity to line their pockets. And the appearance of sand in bureaucratic machinery is a sure sign that a politician or a bureaucrat is available to remove the sand or to oil the machinery – for a consideration.
The EU is probably the most sophisticated and successful corruptocracy in the world.
Yahoo (Reuters) reports on the latest case of EU corruption to come to light:
The European Union’s top health official resigned on Tuesday after an anti-fraud investigation connected him to an attempt to influence EU tobacco legislation, the European Commission said.
The EU’s anti-fraud office OLAF found that a Maltese businessman had tried to use his contacts withCommissioner John Dalli, who is Maltese, for financial gain by offering to influence future EU legislation on tobacco products.
“The OLAF report did not find any conclusive evidence of the direct participation of Mr Dalli but did consider that he was aware of these events,” the Commission said in a statement, saying that Dalli had resigned with immediate effect.
Dalli has rejected the OLAF’s findings, the statement said.
The statement said it was up to Maltese judicial authorities to decide if they wanted to pursue the case.
The OLAF investigation followed a complaint by snuff-and- cigar-maker Swedish Match in May 2012, saying that the businessman – who was not named – sought financial advantages in return for influencing Commission proposals, particularly on the EU’s current export ban on snus, a Swedish-style moist snuff.
“It’s unpleasant that these things happen. We can only hope that the process going forward to create a new directive is transparent and honest,” Swedish Match spokesman Fredrik Peyron said.
“We don’t know all the details that have emerged in this report. But if he has been involved in this it is reasonable (that Dalli resign).”
Snus, which is Swedish Match’s main cash cow, is banned in the EU for health reasons, except in Sweden which negotiated a permanent exemption in its EU accession talks in the 1990s.
Swedish Match hopes the European Commission will lift its ban on snus, which is put under the lip, mostly in pouches. The Swedish government has been pushing for a lifting of the ban, saying the health risks are not proportionate to the ban.
Tags: corruption, Corruptocracy, European Anti-fraud Office, European Union, John Dalli, OLAF, Snuff
Posted in Business, Corruption, European Union | Comments Off on Snuff case is just the tip of the EU corruption iceberg