Posts Tagged ‘global warming’

Global warming is just another false deity of the “God of the Greater Good”

May 31, 2012

I’ve been away for a couple of weeks and have been struck by the way in which the false deity of global warming (part of the unholy trinity made up by the “God of the Greater Good”, his son the “God of I know what’s good for you” and the underlying spirit of “Benevolent Fascism” which infuses this religious movement) is used by different people in a different ways to further their own aims. “Global warming” like “excess population” is merely a fashionable deity which will be worshipped for as long as  it serves as a convenient label to suspend rational thought and justify the unjustifiable.

(more…)

Director of Max Planck Institute admits that climate models are “inconsistent with observations”

April 18, 2012

Climate models – at best – are gross over-simplifications of the chaotic layer of atmosphere around the earth in which climate and weather manifest themselves. Solar effects, the effects of clouds, of volcanoes, of aerosols, of sulphur compounds, of ocean currents and of the winds can only be crudely modelled. There is no evidence that man-made carbon dioxide has any significant impact on weather or climate. No one really knows when and how ice ages come and go. The models use fudge factors galore and each only represents the imperfect understanding, the prejudices and the biases of the modeller. And yet IPCC and governments have got so caught up in their own smug rhetoric about the science being “settled” that they prefer to believe the model results even when they are “inconsistent with reality”.

P Gosselin reports on a new article by Michael Odenwald in the  magazine “Focus” (in German).

(more…)

Polar bear numbers in Canada “likely the highest there has ever been”

April 6, 2012

Polar bears near Churchill, Manitoba: Ward Kennan photolibrary

DNA studies have shown that polar bears and brown bears have a common ancestry. The genetic split occurred about 150,000 years ago in the late Pleistocene just before the end of the Pleistocene glaciation known as the Ice Age. They evolved to meet the conditions of the Ice Age and they continue to adapt. In their present form as polar bears they have survived previous interglacials with temperatures greater than we have at present. And far from being endangered and under threat of extinction they continue to adapt their behaviour and to prosper.

New surveys have shown that 

(more…)

Fakegate and the enrichment of language

February 26, 2012

Fakegate enriches language!

gleick, n, a vain and inept person

to gleick, v, to forge ineptly

Peter was a gleick, Peter is a gleick, Peter will always be a gleick.

Peter gleicked, Peter is gleicking, Peter will gleick.

It trips of the tongue very nicely.

Fakegate and Peter Gleick’s inept (but “heroic”) escapades are the source of much amusement over at Climate Audit. One reader, a Dr. UK has found a very apposite quotation from Shakespeare’s A Midsummer Night’s Dream:

Bottom (wearing the head of an ass): Nay, I can gleek upon occasion.

Titania:Thou art as wise as thou art beautiful.

But there are many contenders for the role of Titania! Monbiot and Laden lead the list.

To gleick, or not to gleick ..

Peter (soliloquy):

To gleick, or not to gleick, that is the question:
Whether ’tis Nobler in the mind to suffer
The Slings and Arrows of outrageous Heartland,
Or to take Fakes against a Sea of Truths,
And by publishing end them:    

(with apologies to WS)

Richard Lindzen’s address at the UK House of Commons

February 24, 2012

Global Warming: How to approach the science

pdf > RSLindzen-HouseOfCommons-2012

Seminar at the House of Commons Committee Rooms
Westminster, London
22nd February 2012

RA Lindzen: “‘Global Warming’ refers to an obscure statistical quantity, globally averaged temperature anomaly, the small residue of far larger and mostly uncorrelated local anomalies. This quantity is highly uncertain, but may be on the order of 0.7C over the past 150 years. This quantity is always varying at this level and there have been periods of both warming and cooling on virtually all time scales.

……… …. while I avoid making forecasts for tenths of a degree change in globally averaged temperature anomaly, I am quite willing to state that unprecedented climate catastrophes are not on the horizon though in several thousand years we may return to an ice age.”

Spending billions for no return: AGW alarmism going the way of the Y2K panic

February 23, 2012

I have yet to come across a case where Alarmism and the invocation of the Precautionary Principle to spend billions has been justified. The Precautionary Principle itself is flawed and is  usually invoked to justify actions in favour of  a political ideology which go against common sense. There are no principles involved.  For example the billions spent on “preventing” the alleged Y2K meltdown were shown to have been essentially unnecessary  when countries which just did not have the money to spend suffered no significant ill-effects (Ukraine and Romania for example).

The Precautionary Principle: An activist is walking down the street snapping his fingers continuously. A guy stops him and asks, “Why are you snapping your fingers all the time?” The activist answers, “To keep wild elephants away.” “That’s ridiculous!”, says the guy. The activist replies, “Oh, yeah? You don’t see any wild elephants around do you?”

The AGW othodoxy is following the same path where trillions are being spent in following political objectives which have no basis and go against common sense.

Professor Richard Lindzen of MIT has been addressing the UK House of Commons.

The Independent: Is catastrophic global warming, like the Millenium Bug, a mistake?

(more…)

Fakegate: Climate Alarmists reduced to forgery, lying, cheating and stealing

February 23, 2012

The Global Warming priesthood have long experience in fudging data, cheating and suppressing opposing views. But Peter Gleick, a true acolyte of the religion, has now been reduced not only to lying, cheating and stealing but also to forgery and fakery.

The blogosphere has been full of the Fakegate or the Peter Gleick affair for the last week. First he used impersonation and lying to extract confidential documents from Heartland. He clearly has broken some laws. But he found nothing very damaging regarding climate sceptics so he forged a “summary” document so as to be able to add some spice to the affair. He then disseminated the documents widely and these were immediately publicised by a gullible and hypocritical orthodoxy.

Peter Gleick - Faker

Of course Gleick is a climate alarmist and activist and for him and his friends Heartland remains the “villain” and his ends of “exposing” the alleged bad guys apparently justifies his dishonest and criminal means. His authorship of the forged document was recognised by Steven Mosher and Climate Audit just from his writing style and bad punctuation. Needless to say Gleick is considered by the global warming priesthood as an expert exponent of integrity in science research. In this sordid case some are delusional enough to see him as a hero.

Gleick’s own work is unimportant and lacking any real scientific content. His lack of ethics (apart from his poor writing and general incompetence) is of no great significance. But his behaviour exposes and is in the tradition established by the Hockey Stick crowd (Mann, Jones, Hansen, Trenberth et al) of fudging and cheating and suppression of opposing views.

BREAKING: Gleick Confesses

Peter Gleick Confesses

Gleick’s AGU Resignation

Megan McArdle gives Mosher and the blogosphere props for pointing to Gleick

Peter Gleick Confesses to Obtaining Heartland Documents Under False Pretenses

FakeGate: Just Another Day at Team Green

Fakegate Illustrates Global Warming Alarmists’ Deceit and Desperation

When IPCC model predictions are wrong it is time to ditch the hypothesis

February 21, 2012

The key requirement for the method of science is scepticism.

The scientific method is to make falsifiable hypotheses and then to check the hypothesis by gathering the evidence to check the falsifiability.

The IPCC and the Global Warming Orthodoxy have been making alarmist predictions for the last 20 years and their hypothesis comes in three parts:

  1. That global warming is occurring and will continue for at least the next 100 years
  2. That human activities are the primary cause of the global warming being observed, and
  3. That man-made emission of carbon-dioxide is the most significant human activity driving climate change.

In the last 20+ years, comparing actual observations show that each one of these 3 parts of this global warming hypothesis is  – at best – oversimplified and – at worst – just plain wrong. “Wrong” in the sense that the causality proposed does not exist and that the mechanisms proposed for the causality are incorrect or non-existent. The IPCC predictions are being proved wrong and it is time to ditch the hypothesis.

scientists

IPCC predictions falsify global warming hypothesis

The 27th January article in the Wall Street Journal “No Need to Panic about Global Warming”  by a number of scientists displaying true scientific scepticism was immediately criticised by members of the Orthodoxy. The original authors now reply to these criticisms in the WSJ:

(more…)

The arrogance of belief: What now Pachauri?

February 9, 2012

What now Pachauri?

Back in November 2009, Rajendra Pachauri and the IPCC were accusing those who were not true believers in climate scientology and the loss of Himalayan ice as being “arrogant”.

This article in The Guardian today reports on new measurements which show zero loss of ice over the last 10 years.

Perhaps the climate scientologists and the global warming brigade should pause to consider their own amazing arrogance of belief (and by corrollary – their lack of science).

(Image above from EU Referendum)

The big freeze: Sun and wind and clouds – not climate scientology or carbon dioxide

February 8, 2012

We have been down to -22°C over the weekend and it’s -10°C today. The cold spell is likely to last another 10 days or so. There are few clouds and day time temperatures are 10+°C higher than at night.

It’s only weather of course but a timely reminder that – anywhere in the world –  daily temperature variations are of the order of 10-15 °C and seasonal variations every year are of the order of 30 – 50 °C. And this variation is entirely due to the effects of the sun and the winds and the cloud cover. The effects of carbon dioxide and climate scientology are insignificant. But it’s only weather.

An extract from the Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI) for 4th February makes the point:

SMHI:

All of Sweden has had it much colder than normal for the season. 

In parts of northern Norrland it was more than 20 °C colder than normal. It was coldest in Kvikkjokk-Årrenjarka in Lapland with a temperature of -42.7 °C, which is the lowest temperature recorded there since surveys began in 1888. It was 25°C colder than what is normal for the season where “normal temperature” means the average daily temperature between the years 1961-1990. 

The reason for the extreme cold was the northern and easterly winds in combination with very clear weather. Without any insulating cloud cover night-time temperatures plummeted.

For the country as a whole it was a fairly even distribution of about 20 °C colder in the north to over 10 °C colder than normal in southern Götaland. At the Norwegian border, with Lakes Vänern and Vättern and along the Östergötland and Småland coast, it was between 8 and 10 °C  colder than normal. It was mildest in southern Öland, with temperatures of only 6 to 7 °C lower than normal.

Sweden temparature anomalies on 4th February 2012 - SMHI